Who's betting on “Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 98% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 15 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
The smart money
98% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $14K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$14K+$313K lifetime
- 2december82% won of 184 · whale$1.0K+$40K lifetime
- 3Tingo202661% won of 206$179−$730 lifetime
- 4ghorrock64% won of 33,405 · whale$111+$7.2K lifetime
- 5SoloXIA71% won of 253 · balanced$106+$7.7K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$1.3K+$203K lifetime
- 20xd262…27e5no record yet$462
- 3join-in20% won of 122 · noise$260+$131 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,151$10−$48K lifetime
- 5qqqppp-l138% won of 7,200 · noise$6+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is ArmageddonRewardsBilly, with $14K on it, $313K lifetime profit over 4,063 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $1.3K on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 12¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 29, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
98% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 29, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.