Who's betting on “Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roussev92, with $2 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $523 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 63,346 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 38%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5 on it
- 1Roussev92100% won of 2$2−$1.8K lifetime
- 2ZeaLBG40% won of 35 · noise$1+$2.7K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 21,289 · noise$0+$25K lifetime
- 4wrldspwn45% won of 56 · noise$0+$75 lifetime
- 5OneGuy10% won of 7$0−$3.2K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 63,346 · whale$523+$1.2M lifetime
- 2conherence71% won of 534 · balanced$440+$3.7K lifetime
- 30xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-178705804843853% won of 2,734$284−$3.0K lifetime
- 4DerDon56% won of 1,263 · whale$116+$97K lifetime
- 50x8fd2…e16354% won of 276$22+$153 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roussev92, with $2 on it, $1.8K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $523 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 63,346 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 2, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 2, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.