Who's betting on “Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 92 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 74% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 19% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $24K has been traded on it.
The smart money
74% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
Who holds it
92 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $252 on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $3 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1Seeking-Alpha0165% won of 318 · balanced$252+$4.6K lifetime
- 2Nighttttt100% won of 7$216+$1.5K lifetime
- 31bur77% won of 26$97−$906 lifetime
- 4only-no78% won of 67$61−$2.0K lifetime
- 5YoungAlphaGoat54% won of 498 · whale$53+$89K lifetime
No$5 on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$3−$4.7M lifetime
- 2YYV61% won of 38$0−$7.8K lifetime
- 3JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$0+$97K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,242 · whale$0+$203K lifetime
- 5lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
3 more- Marina Silva$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Simone Tebet$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Guilherme Derrite$13K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is Seeking-Alpha01, with $252 on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 318 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $3 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?"?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $24K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
74% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 56 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved Yes. $24K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.