Who's betting on “Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $100K traded all time
- Held now
- $211 by 23 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 13 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $100K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
23 wallets hold a position worth $211 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xCCbc0BFC182184c745a887067D0216BafA31fe88-1772265319272, with $13 on it, $13 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is ChainReaction-392, with $62 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 176 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $33
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $178
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$33 on it
- 10xCCbc0BFC182184c745a887067D0216BafA31fe88-17722653192720% won of 3$13−$13 lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
- 3raidmafir28% won of 18$3−$31 lifetime
- 40x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-178211120799855% won of 2,232 · balanced$2+$2.1K lifetime
- 50x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-178201105632951% won of 980 · balanced$2+$1.3K lifetime
No$178 on it
- 1ChainReaction-39250% won of 176 · balanced$62+$11K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$57+$335K lifetime
- 30xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-177237781027386% won of 169 · balanced$21+$991 lifetime
- 4M.elena67864% won of 351$14−$213 lifetime
- 5Paoul199260% won of 338$12−$178 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?"?
23 wallets hold a position worth $211 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 23 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xCCbc0BFC182184c745a887067D0216BafA31fe88-1772265319272, with $13 on it, $13 lifetime loss over 3 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is ChainReaction-392, with $62 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 176 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $100K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.