Who's betting on “Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 79 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 34 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 17% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
17% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 79 points.
Who holds it
34 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $33 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $2.4K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $2.4K on No.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $55
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $2.4K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$55 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,637$33−$8.2K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$5−$378K lifetime
- 3deepugami38% won of 112$3−$2.2K lifetime
- 4planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$2+$132K lifetime
- 5kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$2+$1.5K lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$2.4K+$244K lifetime
- 2pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$90−$320K lifetime
- 30xc24f…220b52% won of 361 · balanced$63+$436 lifetime
- 4Hourglass40% won of 2,902 · noise$43+$137K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$33+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?"?
34 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $33 on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,637 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is FrozenParasite, with $2.4K on it, $244K lifetime profit over 1,432 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
17% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 79 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.