Who's betting on “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?”?
Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 69 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 29% 28 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
29% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
69 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is wonderdog, with $90 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is GTOrski1, with $774 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 31 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $288
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$288 on it
- 1wonderdogno record yet$90+$0 lifetime
- 2rocky4200655% won of 1,355$66−$9.7K lifetime
- 3LLouhis26% won of 58 · noise$36+$231 lifetime
- 4bullishkhandle86% won of 37$19−$436 lifetime
- 5JourneyerJohn50% won of 208$14−$53 lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1GTOrski168% won of 31 · balanced$774+$1.0K lifetime
- 2RationalCoco81% won of 200$720−$2.3K lifetime
- 3bananabreakfast48% won of 2,392 · balanced$552+$5.1K lifetime
- 4Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$325+$154K lifetime
- 5mwenya51% won of 1,060 · whale$190+$114K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?"?
69 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 69 of them. The largest Yes holder is wonderdog, with $90 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is GTOrski1, with $774 on it, $1.0K lifetime profit over 31 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
29% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.