Who's betting on “Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 149 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 90 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
149 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is Atimon8070, with $54 on it, $112 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.7K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 780 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $78 on No.
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $186
- Holders' win rate
- 35%
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $5.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 1 · $78
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$186 on it
- 1Atimon8070no record yet$54−$112 lifetime
- 2GarthBroadmore4% won of 204 · noise$27+$5.8K lifetime
- 3cliveqm60% won of 48$26−$776 lifetime
- 4Dear-Polyp8% won of 215$19−$4.2K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 21,657 · noise$10+$24K lifetime
No$5.6K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 780 · whale$2.7K+$43K lifetime
- 2archaic86% won of 1,558 · whale$510+$199K lifetime
- 3Ajjooli67% won of 303 · balanced$475+$5.2K lifetime
- 4Krass86% won of 201 · balanced$290+$14K lifetime
- 5cocococococo53% won of 1,541 · whale$215+$121K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?"?
149 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 149 of them. The largest Yes holder is Atimon8070, with $54 on it, $112 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is DFK, with $2.7K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 780 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.