Who's betting on “US takes Panama Canal before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $181K traded all time
- Held now
- $37K by 159 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 65 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 94 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
159 wallets hold a position worth $37K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815, with $291 on it, $871 lifetime profit over 172 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04, with $12K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 94
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 10x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-177958101681536% won of 172 · noise$291+$871 lifetime
- 20xc615d34879c57eeF6ab81cF8F6e3d239EAe7e982-176882696231659% won of 17$290+$12K lifetime
- 3Kris-Future93% won of 54 · balanced$115+$23K lifetime
- 4Dannyboi6928% won of 18$90−$270 lifetime
- 5KjerstinDellert67% won of 225 · balanced$87+$6.0K lifetime
No$36K on it
- 195074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0492% won of 1,009 · whale$12K+$146K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$3.3K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3retolo27376% won of 38 · balanced$2.6K+$191 lifetime
- 4MaxPowell71% won of 49$2.4K−$13K lifetime
- 5Bombarda74% won of 110 · whale$2.2K+$112K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "US takes Panama Canal before 2027?"?
159 wallets hold a position worth $37K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815, with $291 on it, $871 lifetime profit over 172 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04, with $12K on it, $146K lifetime profit over 1,009 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US takes Panama Canal before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.