Who's betting on “US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is singularityman, with $194 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is agagyu, with $3.9K on it, $33K lifetime profit over 183 markets (90% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $194 on Yes.
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $542
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $194
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$542 on it
- 1singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$194+$78K lifetime
- 2m33zy52% won of 265 · balanced$66+$1.8K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$39−$485K lifetime
- 4kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$38+$1.5K lifetime
- 5Spectrum76% won of 489 · whale$32+$9.0K lifetime
No$5.8K on it
- 1agagyu90% won of 183 · whale$3.9K+$33K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 518 · whale$1.0K+$62K lifetime
- 3Gaujmalietis96% won of 218 · grinder$275+$4.1K lifetime
- 4Ddonineteen41% won of 282$185−$2.1K lifetime
- 50xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$156+$61K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is singularityman, with $194 on it, $78K lifetime profit over 360 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is agagyu, with $3.9K on it, $33K lifetime profit over 183 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.