Who's betting on “U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 92 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $202K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 5% 41 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $202K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
5% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 92 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 92 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is GGOGOGOG, with $680 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 3 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $7.1K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $887
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$887 on it
- 1GGOGOGOG67% won of 3$680−$12K lifetime
- 20x14Bf49CB28A263A743457d7AfadFa8A432Ada362-177196824269987% won of 45$56−$486 lifetime
- 3tsarr100% won of 1$55−$544 lifetime
- 40x49e3…76a70% won of 1$20−$70 lifetime
- 50x2f61410e53341fE76F5eA178aF23c8B24Eb7a33b-176764521154866% won of 90 · balanced$16+$939 lifetime
No$22K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$7.1K+$42K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$5.5K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$2.0K+$85K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$1.8K+$335K lifetime
- 5BikesAreTheBikes65% won of 1,351 · whale$1.4K+$101K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is GGOGOGOG, with $680 on it, $12K lifetime loss over 3 markets (67% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $7.1K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $202K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
5% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 92 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 92 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.