Who's betting on “US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $14K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is Analista., with $108 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 283 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is bhkMarvin, with $2.1K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 215 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $297
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 83%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$297 on it
- 1Analista.48% won of 283 · whale$108+$44K lifetime
- 2fiter17% won of 842 · noise$17+$50K lifetime
- 3youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$15−$6.5K lifetime
- 4estoicc61% won of 360 · balanced$15+$9.0K lifetime
- 5LiquidatedDegen73% won of 1,151 · whale$14+$84K lifetime
No$5.3K on it
- 1bhkMarvin95% won of 215$2.1K−$11K lifetime
- 2thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$481+$100K lifetime
- 3JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$417+$95K lifetime
- 4StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$409+$98K lifetime
- 5Huludubu56% won of 1,051 · whale$218+$45K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is Analista., with $108 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 283 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is bhkMarvin, with $2.1K on it, $11K lifetime loss over 215 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $14K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 33 points. A week ago, Yes by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.