Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?”?

Politics$29K traded95 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
9%Yes🧠 smart money
91%No

Smart money leans Yes: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$29K
traded all time
Held now
$2.5K
by 95 wallets
Smart share · Yes
83%
59 scored holders
Smart share · No
77%
36 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

83% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

Who holds it

95 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $47 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus., with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won).

Yes9%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share83%
7 days ago 86%a day ago 83%now 83%
Holders
59
Money on it
$238
Holders' win rate
48%
No91%
Smart money share77%
7 days ago 79%a day ago 77%now 77%
Holders
36
Money on it
$2.3K
Holders' win rate
72%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$238 on it

  1. 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$47+$44K lifetime
  2. 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$45+$28K lifetime
  3. 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$22+$254K lifetime
  4. 4dadapera74% won of 87 · balanced$17+$1.8K lifetime
  5. 5neeek100% won of 1$15+$78 lifetime

No$2.3K on it

  1. 1Paeniscus.70% won of 80 · balanced$1.2K+$4.5K lifetime
  2. 2crossx76% won of 173$279−$4.7K lifetime
  3. 30x8DB5bfb848ee6745c475DF375bd0c983468BFA3E-177457533505383% won of 203 · balanced$148+$3.2K lifetime
  4. 4SweetChariot89% won of 218 · whale$101+$24K lifetime
  5. 5vino123459% won of 264 · whale$98+$29K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?"?

95 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $47 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is Paeniscus., with $1.2K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 80 markets (70% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

83% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 6 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.