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Who's betting on “U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?”?

Politics$206K traded435 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
9%Yes
91%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$206K
traded all time
Held now
$30K
by 435 wallets
Smart share · Yes
50%
266 scored holders
Smart share · No
93%
168 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

50% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

Who holds it

435 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 434 of them. The largest Yes holder is Slugmonay, with $359 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is plumbis, with $13K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 168 markets (63% won).

Yes9%
Smart money share50%
7 days ago 45%a day ago 50%now 50%
Holders
267
Money on it
$2.7K
Holders' win rate
57%
No91%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
7 days ago 91%a day ago 92%now 93%
Holders
168
Money on it
$27K
Holders' win rate
63%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$2.7K on it

  1. 1Slugmonayno record yet$359+$0 lifetime
  2. 2DualDelta34% won of 208 · noise$307+$41K lifetime
  3. 30x52eb…ec36no record yet$267+$35 lifetime
  4. 4delphilo81% won of 211 · balanced$198+$8.7K lifetime
  5. 5KioskJammer50% won of 1,631$150−$241K lifetime

No$27K on it

  1. 1plumbis63% won of 168 · whale$13K+$54K lifetime
  2. 2bosshog72% won of 1,057 · whale$2.3K+$228K lifetime
  3. 3DirkDiggler6758% won of 1,069 · whale$1.9K+$141K lifetime
  4. 4TheEmprah69% won of 217 · whale$1.3K+$34K lifetime
  5. 5Xzibit6967% won of 217 · balanced$1.2K+$11K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"?

435 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 434 of them. The largest Yes holder is Slugmonay, with $359 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is plumbis, with $13K on it, $54K lifetime profit over 168 markets (63% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

50% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.