Who's betting on “U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $52K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.1K by 150 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 51 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 99 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
150 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is Porx, with $146 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 411 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is dpnd, with $1.8K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won).
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $490
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $8.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$490 on it
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?"?
150 wallets hold a position worth $9.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 150 of them. The largest Yes holder is Porx, with $146 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 411 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is dpnd, with $1.8K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 240 markets (39% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $52K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.