
Who's betting on “U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is crypto-basenji, with $939 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 409 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $336 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $134 on No.
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $134
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$939+$3.6K lifetime
- 214t3no record yet$437+$0 lifetime
- 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$72+$56K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$44+$254K lifetime
- 5KofiAnnan0% won of 7$44−$33 lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$336+$98K lifetime
- 2Konfucious68% won of 512 · balanced$264+$9.8K lifetime
- 3Minervavon60% won of 15$227−$1.5K lifetime
- 40xcb5f…88cdno record yet$182+$0 lifetime
- 5Eia59% won of 1,231 · whale$168+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is crypto-basenji, with $939 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 409 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $336 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.