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Who's betting on “U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?”?

Politics$10K traded51 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
45%Yes
55%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$3.5K
by 51 wallets
Smart share · Yes
67%
14 scored holders
Smart share · No
63%
36 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

Who holds it

51 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is crypto-basenji, with $939 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 409 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $336 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $134 on No.

Yes45%
Smart money share67%
Holders
14
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' win rate
46%
No55%
Smart money share63%
Holders
37
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' win rate
60%
Snipers
1 · $134

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.6K on it

  1. 1crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$939+$3.6K lifetime
  2. 214t3no record yet$437+$0 lifetime
  3. 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$72+$56K lifetime
  4. 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$44+$254K lifetime
  5. 5KofiAnnan0% won of 7$44−$33 lifetime

No$1.9K on it

  1. 1StarMaster54% won of 944 · whale$336+$98K lifetime
  2. 2Konfucious68% won of 512 · balanced$264+$9.8K lifetime
  3. 3Minervavon60% won of 15$227−$1.5K lifetime
  4. 40xcb5f…88cdno record yet$182+$0 lifetime
  5. 5Eia59% won of 1,231 · whale$168+$23K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?"?

51 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is crypto-basenji, with $939 on it, $3.6K lifetime profit over 409 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is StarMaster, with $336 on it, $98K lifetime profit over 944 markets (54% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

67% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.