Who's betting on “Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?”?
Sports · $135K volume · Closed · Updated October 4, 2026
This market closed on October 4, 2026 and resolved No. $135K has been traded on it.
37% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 46 points.
329 wallets hold a position worth $70K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 328 of them.
- Smart money share
- 37% ▼ 50 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 202
- Money on it
- $40
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 83% ▼ 4 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 127
- Money on it
- $70K
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Republic of Ireland vs. Israel
Other big sports markets
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$35M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.3M vol.Yes 71%No 29%Smart money split
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$7.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$6.4M vol.Yes 17%No 83%Smart money: Yes
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.9M vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money split
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?"?
329 wallets hold a position worth $70K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 328 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?"?
This market closed on October 4, 2026 and resolved No. $135K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 46 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 46 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 4, 2026 and resolved No. $135K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.