Who's betting on “Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $103K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 224 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 99 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 125 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
Who holds it
224 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is Voidofhype, with $211 on it, $4.3K lifetime loss over 194 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $11K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
- Holders
- 99
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
- Holders
- 125
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1Voidofhype37% won of 194$211−$4.3K lifetime
- 2Till198640% won of 164 · noise$173+$7.1K lifetime
- 30x2814D522137052b40427447288BcD67fB6375596-177497149236729% won of 145$161−$5.6K lifetime
- 4Get1048% won of 208$94−$22K lifetime
- 5ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$46+$2.3M lifetime
No$26K on it
- 1KrackenSruster66% won of 907 · whale$11K+$274K lifetime
- 2yevhenry56% won of 1,096 · whale$6.0K+$15K lifetime
- 3Deabrest95% won of 22$3.0K−$6.5K lifetime
- 4Art088881% won of 211 · balanced$2.3K+$3.4K lifetime
- 5Reimbroq100% won of 25 · balanced$792+$5.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?"?
224 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is Voidofhype, with $211 on it, $4.3K lifetime loss over 194 markets (37% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $11K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $103K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.