Who's betting on “Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $74K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.7K by 103 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 83% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 46 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
83% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
103 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigBoiBettin, with $160 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 200 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is yevhenry, with $6.8K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,096 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $67 on No.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $519
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $9.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $67
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$519 on it
- 1BigBoiBettin56% won of 200 · balanced$160+$22K lifetime
- 2Hazya11% won of 19$100+$365 lifetime
- 3Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$80+$154K lifetime
- 4ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$31+$904K lifetime
- 5alexhamilton0% won of 1$27−$15K lifetime
No$9.2K on it
- 1yevhenry56% won of 1,096 · whale$6.8K+$15K lifetime
- 2007-Bond88% won of 105 · balanced$798+$2.9K lifetime
- 3shred777788% won of 216 · balanced$296+$9.7K lifetime
- 4RTM4k64% won of 14$281+$214 lifetime
- 5SpiceRider48% won of 25$193+$77 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?"?
103 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 103 of them. The largest Yes holder is BigBoiBettin, with $160 on it, $22K lifetime profit over 200 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is yevhenry, with $6.8K on it, $15K lifetime profit over 1,096 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $74K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
83% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.