Who's betting on “Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $242K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 443 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 225 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 218 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $242K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
Who holds it
443 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 443 of them. The largest Yes holder is felbax, with $114 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Outsmarter, with $7.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 153 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7.5K on No.
- Holders
- 225
- Money on it
- $912
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 218
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 1 · $7.5K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$912 on it
- 1felbax75% won of 4$114+$1.3K lifetime
- 20x0dcb…a7b438% won of 21 · noise$103+$13K lifetime
- 3TANGO85348% won of 353$60−$10K lifetime
- 40xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-174601274498397% won of 242 · balanced$49+$11K lifetime
- 5BigBoiBettin56% won of 200 · balanced$46+$22K lifetime
No$22K on it
- 1Outsmarter75% won of 153 · sniper$7.5K+$75K lifetime
- 2EPunx55% won of 200$3.4K−$4.7K lifetime
- 3zve3da97% won of 36 · balanced$1.1K+$3.2K lifetime
- 4cqs66% won of 400 · whale$1.1K+$309K lifetime
- 5darkus78% won of 80 · balanced$1.0K+$175 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?"?
443 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 443 of them. The largest Yes holder is felbax, with $114 on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 4 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is Outsmarter, with $7.5K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 153 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $242K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.