Who's betting on “Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $107K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 126 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 68% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 68 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $107K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
68% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
126 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is Newshound, with $93 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $3.5K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on No.
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $536
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.3K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$536 on it
- 1Newshound73% won of 1,051 · whale$93+$73K lifetime
- 2kastetem47% won of 226 · whale$78+$8.9K lifetime
- 3DKcoin44% won of 18$41−$41K lifetime
- 4Sheehave39% won of 125 · noise$41+$591 lifetime
- 50x52eb…ec36no record yet$38+$35 lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1KrackenSruster66% won of 907 · whale$3.5K+$274K lifetime
- 2End12362% won of 674$2.2K−$42K lifetime
- 3Outsmarter75% won of 153 · sniper$1.3K+$75K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$1.0K+$334K lifetime
- 5eastpak65% won of 314$848−$8.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 126 of them. The largest Yes holder is Newshound, with $93 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is KrackenSruster, with $3.5K on it, $274K lifetime profit over 907 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $107K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
68% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.