Who's betting on “UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 81 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 48 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
Who holds it
81 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0eab…821b, with $115 on it, $6 lifetime profit over 17 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is nelbal8486, with $3.3K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 105 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $336
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 48
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$336 on it
- 10x0eab…821b59% won of 17$115+$6 lifetime
- 2perico1876% won of 25$83−$1.0K lifetime
- 3Betmeonce37% won of 73 · noise$50+$1.4K lifetime
- 4falcon17467% won of 201$30−$21K lifetime
- 5garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$18+$30K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1nelbal848682% won of 105 · whale$3.3K+$23K lifetime
- 20x33287EaE7e55B86c9B4Cf4c53444F062D2Dbe6b8-175629788953754% won of 231$1.6K−$48K lifetime
- 3AnCap.Investor57% won of 233 · balanced$1.4K+$3.8K lifetime
- 4iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$1.1K+$2.3K lifetime
- 5Bobic61% won of 462 · balanced$785+$5.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?"?
81 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0eab…821b, with $115 on it, $6 lifetime profit over 17 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is nelbal8486, with $3.3K on it, $23K lifetime profit over 105 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 13 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.