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Who's betting on “Tusk out by December 31?”?

Politics$23K traded89 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated November 2, 2026
6%Yes
94%No

Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$12K
by 89 wallets
Smart share · Yes
-
32 scored holders
Smart share · No
91%
55 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

Who holds it

89 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dear-Polyp, with $318 on it, $4.1K lifetime loss over 213 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.8K on it, $130K lifetime profit over 1,249 markets (74% won).

Sharp money

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $85 on No.

Yes6%
Smart money share-
Holders
34
Money on it
$693
Holders' win rate
28%
No94%
Smart money share91% ▲ 11 pts in 24 h
a day ago 81%now 91%
Holders
55
Money on it
$11K
Holders' win rate
70%
Snipers
1 · $85

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$693 on it

  1. 1Dear-Polyp8% won of 213$318−$4.1K lifetime
  2. 2Canti25% won of 200$108−$2.6K lifetime
  3. 3am85cr100% won of 277 · balanced$42+$3.7K lifetime
  4. 4fiter20% won of 894 · noise$27+$53K lifetime
  5. 5sabsabinxz70% won of 104 · whale$20+$85K lifetime

No$11K on it

  1. 1QMG-CORE74% won of 1,249 · whale$2.8K+$130K lifetime
  2. 2Moond71% won of 1,008 · whale$2.3K+$144K lifetime
  3. 3archaic86% won of 1,526 · whale$1.3K+$197K lifetime
  4. 4Banditoes67% won of 258 · balanced$942+$4.9K lifetime
  5. 5lava-lava47% won of 1,662 · whale$677+$1.2M lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Tusk out by December 31?"?

89 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dear-Polyp, with $318 on it, $4.1K lifetime loss over 213 markets (8% won). The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.8K on it, $130K lifetime profit over 1,249 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Tusk out by December 31?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.