Who's betting on “Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 26 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $432 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is spacegliderr, with $896 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 224 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$432+$819K lifetime
- 2PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN72% won of 1,263 · whale$161+$776K lifetime
- 3Burgil66% won of 155 · whale$146+$25K lifetime
- 4Snoorrason41% won of 470 · noise$127+$201K lifetime
- 5title157% won of 1,363 · whale$124+$24K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1spacegliderr29% won of 224$896−$78K lifetime
- 2clazzy169% won of 624 · whale$422+$27K lifetime
- 3Antony8267% won of 712 · balanced$328+$3.7K lifetime
- 4Mandalorec63% won of 286 · balanced$220+$3.2K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$98+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $432 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is spacegliderr, with $896 on it, $78K lifetime loss over 224 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.