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Who's betting on “Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics$21K traded59 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
6%Yes
94%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$21K
traded all time
Held now
$2.9K
by 59 wallets
Smart share · Yes
80%
24 scored holders
Smart share · No
83%
35 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

80% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

Who holds it

59 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794, with $111 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $1.7K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).

Yes6%
Smart money share80%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 80%now 80%
Holders
24
Money on it
$169
Holders' win rate
52%
No94%
Smart money share83% ▲ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 83%a day ago 79%now 83%
Holders
35
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' win rate
78%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$169 on it

  1. 10xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-176753254779448% won of 1,033 · whale$111+$35K lifetime
  2. 20x5986747c0cA0d457cdd086f9387DC4F2BC4D83E3-174711556043567% won of 202$12−$1.1K lifetime
  3. 3Zero1075% won of 71 · balanced$8+$2 lifetime
  4. 4thecaricature44% won of 717$6−$7.9K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$6+$255K lifetime

No$2.8K on it

  1. 1archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$1.7K+$197K lifetime
  2. 2Zarshka62% won of 1,010 · whale$245+$18K lifetime
  3. 3Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$111+$570 lifetime
  4. 40xf040…d11f47% won of 786$103−$1.1K lifetime
  5. 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$76+$127K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?"?

59 wallets hold a position worth $2.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-1767532547794, with $111 on it, $35K lifetime profit over 1,033 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $1.7K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

80% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.