Who's betting on “Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $127K traded all time
- Held now
- $30K by 140 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 89 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $127K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
140 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeruvianPuffPepper, with $254 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 95 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $19K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 89
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1PeruvianPuffPepper64% won of 95 · balanced$254+$11K lifetime
- 2meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$245+$142K lifetime
- 3Guthix48114% won of 14$133−$184 lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$99+$334K lifetime
- 5gghff41% won of 1,256 · noise$80+$14K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?"?
140 wallets hold a position worth $30K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is PeruvianPuffPepper, with $254 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 95 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $19K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $127K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 19 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.