Who's betting on “Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $82K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 90 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
90 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $333 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Bertapotamous, with $6.5K on it, $250K lifetime profit over 1,036 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $13K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$333+$106K lifetime
- 2Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$173+$44K lifetime
- 3basmati75% won of 28$117−$4.2K lifetime
- 4Cattail65% won of 241 · balanced$95+$15K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$65+$335K lifetime
No$13K on it
- 1Bertapotamous85% won of 1,036 · whale$6.5K+$250K lifetime
- 2ErnstKuzorra75% won of 228$1.8K−$8.5K lifetime
- 3aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$1.0K+$201K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 16,022 · whale$920+$164K lifetime
- 5johnnyA72% won of 888 · whale$606+$25K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?"?
90 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is smellyEllie, with $333 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Bertapotamous, with $6.5K on it, $250K lifetime profit over 1,036 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $82K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.