Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 99% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 75 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 24% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 99% 19 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
24% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 75 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $1.9K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $5.6K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 19
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.6K on it
- 1TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$1.9K−$52K lifetime
- 20xe73f74d14C085b148BC9D50bef2071A01D291e97-171794671548677% won of 13$432+$728 lifetime
- 3simpleman53% won of 1,036 · whale$72+$91K lifetime
- 4TheMasterMind71% won of 267 · balanced$57+$4.3K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,246 · noise$21+$255K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1smellyEllie50% won of 1,984 · whale$5.6K+$106K lifetime
- 2tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$2.7K+$973K lifetime
- 3greatbritain56% won of 194 · balanced$1.5K+$17K lifetime
- 4AlexiosV78% won of 464 · whale$1.1K+$17K lifetime
- 50xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-178200852819057% won of 2,344$65−$3.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheWindKnowsmyName, with $1.9K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 490 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is smellyEllie, with $5.6K on it, $106K lifetime profit over 1,984 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 19¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
24% of the money on Yes and 99% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 75 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.