Who's betting on “Trump meets with Putin by December 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $245K traded all time
- Held now
- $67K by 294 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 149 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 143 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 17¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $245K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
294 wallets hold a position worth $67K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Yes holder is Fulgurator, with $11K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is poli.monaco, with $1.5K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 58 markets (69% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $835 on Yes.
- Holders
- 150
- Money on it
- $56K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $835
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$56K on it
- 1Fulgurator88% won of 98 · balanced$11K+$22K lifetime
- 20x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-176199515622193% won of 385 · balanced$10K+$3.3K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,394 · whale$8.3K+$1.2M lifetime
- 4Barkshire-Hathaway73% won of 610 · whale$4.2K+$129K lifetime
- 50xrc85% won of 351 · whale$1.8K+$29K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1poli.monaco69% won of 58 · balanced$1.5K+$29K lifetime
- 2JoeBlack0165% won of 1,023 · whale$1.3K+$89K lifetime
- 3KrackenSruster66% won of 907 · whale$1.2K+$274K lifetime
- 40x2DF77e862aF88a9cC3Dbb88707B604a85884d71b-1780411072935100% won of 2$833+$3.1K lifetime
- 5How.Dare.You75% won of 1,004$735−$831K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Trump meets with Putin by...?
2 more- November 30$31K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$166K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Trump meets with Putin by December 31?"?
294 wallets hold a position worth $67K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 292 of them. The largest Yes holder is Fulgurator, with $11K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 98 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is poli.monaco, with $1.5K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 58 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump meets with Putin by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 17¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $245K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.