Who's betting on “Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 82 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $66K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.5K by 62 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 15% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
15% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 82 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
Who holds it
62 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is toutiege, with $114 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 201 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $3.5K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $243
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $9.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$243 on it
- 1toutiege64% won of 201$114−$29K lifetime
- 20x4ca94a83BDbA25336C69807cceF4ff34F5D17aa1-178271730876244% won of 137$62−$789 lifetime
- 3thecaricature44% won of 717$12−$7.9K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$9−$485K lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$8+$335K lifetime
No$9.3K on it
- 1DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$3.5K+$104K lifetime
- 2SmakAfriki60% won of 195 · balanced$1.8K+$9.4K lifetime
- 3CasanaView100% won of 3$975+$5.9K lifetime
- 4mombil62% won of 1,063 · whale$955+$502K lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$940+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?"?
62 wallets hold a position worth $9.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is toutiege, with $114 on it, $29K lifetime loss over 201 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is DEGENKHAN, with $3.5K on it, $104K lifetime profit over 1,147 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $66K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
15% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 82 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 72 points. A week ago, No by 83 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.