Who's betting on “Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 24% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $254K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.1K by 103 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 24% 50 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 9% 51 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $254K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
24% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
103 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is Full-Realization, with $318 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 154 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is N.sam, with $3.7K on it, $369 lifetime loss over 244 markets (39% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $71 on No.
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 51
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 1 · $71
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.9K on it
- 1Full-Realization66% won of 154$318−$2.6K lifetime
- 2Rasoulrtl0% won of 4$289−$3.9K lifetime
- 3JosephIsGreat39% won of 146$199−$8.6K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$188+$255K lifetime
- 5Joseaa29% won of 202$181−$1.2K lifetime
No$5.2K on it
- 1N.sam39% won of 244$3.7K−$369 lifetime
- 2WeJustBettin87% won of 230$481−$1.4K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$293−$377K lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$180+$170K lifetime
- 50xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-176476400625185% won of 214 · balanced$97+$489 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?"?
103 wallets hold a position worth $7.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is Full-Realization, with $318 on it, $2.6K lifetime loss over 154 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is N.sam, with $3.7K on it, $369 lifetime loss over 244 markets (39% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $254K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
24% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 5 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.