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Who's betting on “Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?”?

Politics$133K traded207 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
5%Yes🧠 smart money
95%No

Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$133K
traded all time
Held now
$26K
by 207 wallets
Smart share · Yes
78%
119 scored holders
Smart share · No
56%
88 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

78% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

Who holds it

207 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $631 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $7.5K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).

Yes5%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share78%
7 days ago 78%a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
119
Money on it
$1.2K
Holders' win rate
61%
No95%
Smart money share56% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 56%a day ago 54%now 56%
Holders
88
Money on it
$25K
Holders' win rate
76%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.2K on it

  1. 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$631+$72K lifetime
  2. 2MattPMP46% won of 54 · noise$122+$2.3K lifetime
  3. 3MysticMike75% won of 202$46−$1.4K lifetime
  4. 4Our-Few53% won of 211 · whale$30+$79K lifetime
  5. 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$24+$97K lifetime

No$25K on it

  1. 1AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$7.5K+$25K lifetime
  2. 2Gdub70% won of 1,014$6.8K−$301 lifetime
  3. 30x19974ce5980baE3d4c4D1a67CFce60C655492e36-176067141270673% won of 538$2.6K−$128K lifetime
  4. 4elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.9K+$2.1M lifetime
  5. 50xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-175812516241386% won of 303 · grinder$1.1K+$7.5K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?"?

207 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 207 of them. The largest Yes holder is cowcat, with $631 on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $7.5K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

78% of the money on Yes and 56% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.