Who's betting on “Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.4K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 53 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcd4b…5ea1, with $271 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 41 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $2.1K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $7.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 10xcd4b…5ea146% won of 41$271−$53K lifetime
- 2tinman279% won of 401 · whale$243+$14K lifetime
- 3cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$147+$67K lifetime
- 40xBD3d538183d71a8F283e743f60B04C3C571B742F-171736002750644% won of 200$129−$36K lifetime
- 5SlavaUkraini75% won of 290 · whale$109+$727K lifetime
No$7.1K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$2.1K+$100K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.6K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3Milton..Friedman100% won of 1$926+$88 lifetime
- 4Optimus-55% won of 330 · whale$663+$121K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$498+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $8.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xcd4b…5ea1, with $271 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 41 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $2.1K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.