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Who's betting on “Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?”?

Politics$45K traded37 holdersEnds April 16, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
24%Yes
77%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$45K
traded all time
Held now
$2.2K
by 37 wallets
Smart share · Yes
68%
23 scored holders
Smart share · No
83%
14 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 16, 2027.

The smart money

68% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

Who holds it

37 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Freedom-BY, with $330 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 249 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is CircuitBoardA, with $1.1K on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 258 markets (67% won).

Yes24%
Smart money share68% ▼ 4 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 73%a day ago 73%now 68%
Holders
23
Money on it
$514
Holders' win rate
67%
No77%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share83% ▼ 5 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 88%a day ago 88%now 83%
Holders
14
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$514 on it

  1. 1Freedom-BY75% won of 249 · whale$330+$1.5K lifetime
  2. 2V0u0V52% won of 206$93−$1.8K lifetime
  3. 30x68a2…366333% won of 6$32−$597 lifetime
  4. 4Oldnew85% won of 20$21−$1 lifetime
  5. 5ToniPolster58% won of 57 · balanced$12+$44 lifetime

No$1.7K on it

  1. 1CircuitBoardA67% won of 258 · balanced$1.1K+$3.4K lifetime
  2. 2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$179+$85K lifetime
  3. 30x5c669023bE8d949Cc489b8e397Ad81Cd606A31E3-176161814492975% won of 202$103−$386 lifetime
  4. 40xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$102+$4.6K lifetime
  5. 5nlenn70% won of 139$92−$198 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?"?

37 wallets hold a position worth $2.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is Freedom-BY, with $330 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 249 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is CircuitBoardA, with $1.1K on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 258 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 24¢ and No at 77¢, a 77% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 16, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

68% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 16, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.