Who's betting on “Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 45 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.2K by 51 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points.
Who holds it
51 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is sabsabinxz, with $554 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 99 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.3K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $98 on Yes.
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $98
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.2K on it
- 1sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$554+$84K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$369−$377K lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$294−$8.2K lifetime
- 4lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$173+$1.2M lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$165+$255K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 1DiaMat92% won of 111 · balanced$1.3K+$7.2K lifetime
- 2tomateman37% won of 54 · noise$1.1K+$340 lifetime
- 30x5b91…270976% won of 1,033 · whale$639+$54K lifetime
- 4JohnP9242% won of 423 · noise$519+$17K lifetime
- 50x2Db7211fBD60A7CeFC804eaB39a250Db46828f9b-177253503005660% won of 291 · balanced$156+$4.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?"?
51 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is sabsabinxz, with $554 on it, $84K lifetime profit over 99 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.3K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 65¢, a 65% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.