Who's betting on “Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 68% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $41K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 176 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 68% 115 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
176 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is cliveqm, with $108 on it, $776 lifetime loss over 48 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $3.4K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $602
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$602 on it
- 1cliveqm60% won of 48$108−$776 lifetime
- 2polmarke19593% won of 28 · balanced$74+$5.7K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$72+$56K lifetime
- 4szdong83% won of 6$70−$163 lifetime
- 50x983d4c605334Ad3Ef06227f1CCCC8Fc2dd5C933f-175761404818327% won of 201$47−$2.9K lifetime
No$15K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$3.4K+$100K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$1.5K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3cripes368% won of 206$1.4K−$113K lifetime
- 40xe617…f25190% won of 1,010$1.0K−$49K lifetime
- 5WeJustBettin87% won of 230$954−$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is cliveqm, with $108 on it, $776 lifetime loss over 48 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is thoodr, with $3.4K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $41K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.