Who's betting on “Russia coup attempt in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $151K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 224 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 35% 96 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 128 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $151K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
35% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
224 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is your-urologist, with $133 on it, $100 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Sebastian101, with $7.8K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 44 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $717
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 128
- Money on it
- $27K
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$717 on it
- 1your-urologistno record yet$133−$100 lifetime
- 2Sten-Viking0% won of 2$88−$76 lifetime
- 30xa03AA5E674c63804419F78b7D8974B0129b1BaA9-1779670280552no record yet$66+$0 lifetime
- 4sha-mt83% won of 6$49−$545 lifetime
- 5Kaldex63% won of 90$28−$93 lifetime
No$27K on it
- 1Sebastian10180% won of 44$7.8K−$3.0K lifetime
- 2bazooka151% won of 236 · balanced$5.9K+$1.3K lifetime
- 3ANGGGuess88% won of 8$3.1K+$638 lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$2.9K+$1.5M lifetime
- 5Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,136 · whale$2.1K+$560 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Russia coup attempt in 2026?"?
224 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 224 of them. The largest Yes holder is your-urologist, with $133 on it, $100 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Sebastian101, with $7.8K on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 44 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Russia coup attempt in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $151K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
35% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.