Who's betting on “Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 39 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 48 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 20% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 9, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is podairpod, with $302 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 821 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $62 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,344 markets (45% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $95 on Yes.
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 1 · $95
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $261
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1podairpod61% won of 821 · whale$302+$26K lifetime
- 20xd0d9…30f268% won of 319$259−$125 lifetime
- 30x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$211+$64K lifetime
- 40x20e7…aa5a45% won of 20$161−$95 lifetime
- 5MasterOfMankind27% won of 52 · noise$158+$1.0K lifetime
No$261 on it
- 1tradetosurvive145% won of 25,344$62−$217K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,296$43−$52K lifetime
- 3lissartter56% won of 2,997$15−$287K lifetime
- 4nicole2677% won of 87$14−$5 lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$11−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is podairpod, with $302 on it, $26K lifetime profit over 821 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is tradetosurvive1, with $62 on it, $217K lifetime loss over 25,344 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 9, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 20% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 9, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.