Who's betting on “Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $82K traded all time
- Held now
- $50K by 202 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 93% 123 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 78 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 29, 2026 and resolved Yes. $82K has been traded on it.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
202 wallets hold a position worth $50K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them.
- Holders
- 124
- Money on it
- $50K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $19
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
3 more- No change$67K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- 50+ bps increase$22K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
- 50+ bps decrease$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoToo little scored money to compare
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.9M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.9M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Too little scored money to compare
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.1M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$328K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?"?
202 wallets hold a position worth $50K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?"?
This market closed on September 29, 2026 and resolved Yes. $82K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 29, 2026 and resolved Yes. $82K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.