Who's betting on “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 56 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $256K traded all time
- Held now
- $76K by 194 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 111 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
Who holds it
194 wallets hold a position worth $76K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 194 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andylow5, with $264 on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is iraa3, with $23K on it, $7.1K lifetime profit over 296 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $793
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 111
- Money on it
- $75K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$793 on it
- 1Andylow5100% won of 1$264+$0 lifetime
- 2QQQ77762% won of 42$131−$1.3M lifetime
- 3DB643% won of 7$115−$1.2K lifetime
- 4NotAnNFTno record yet$70+$0 lifetime
- 5HeHeardANoise92% won of 468$45−$25K lifetime
No$75K on it
- 1iraa380% won of 296 · whale$23K+$7.1K lifetime
- 2conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$9.4K+$3.6K lifetime
- 3Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$7.8K+$298K lifetime
- 4randomWalkingShrimp89% won of 231 · whale$4.5K+$39K lifetime
- 5trzorira279% won of 103 · balanced$4.2K+$2.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?"?
194 wallets hold a position worth $76K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 194 of them. The largest Yes holder is Andylow5, with $264 on it, $0 lifetime profit over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is iraa3, with $23K on it, $7.1K lifetime profit over 296 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 54 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.