Who's betting on “Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 69% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $594 by 47 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 35% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points.
Who holds it
47 wallets hold a position worth $594 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $4 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Roomservice, with $168 on it, $7.7K lifetime profit over 269 markets (98% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $576
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$18 on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$4+$46K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
- 32200FCA4fE3bAb3706522A8F4436B7656911474f.81% won of 342 · balanced$2+$521 lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$1+$97K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$1−$485K lifetime
No$576 on it
- 1Roomservice98% won of 269 · whale$168+$7.7K lifetime
- 2tradetosurvive145% won of 25,346$146−$217K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,301$79−$52K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$56−$320K lifetime
- 5Carabao51% won of 3,310$40−$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Precipitation in NYC in October?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$802K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?"?
47 wallets hold a position worth $594 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 47 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $4 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is Roomservice, with $168 on it, $7.7K lifetime profit over 269 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 35% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.