Who's betting on “Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 61 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.5K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 24% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 71 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roomservice, with $1.2K on it, $7.7K lifetime profit over 269 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is sakelpuntas, with $19 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 194 markets (4% won).
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $3.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $73
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.4K on it
- 1Roomservice98% won of 269 · whale$1.2K+$7.7K lifetime
- 2Sunnydays87% won of 524 · grinder$895+$5.9K lifetime
- 3FrogCharts68% won of 309 · balanced$388+$11K lifetime
- 40xf51b…ca1b47% won of 1,884 · whale$290+$10K lifetime
- 5Funiculi62% won of 245$206−$2.0K lifetime
No$73 on it
- 1sakelpuntas4% won of 194$19−$1.6K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$12+$255K lifetime
- 3Numitus199449% won of 15,720$8−$28K lifetime
- 40xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-176776398324958% won of 165$5−$895 lifetime
- 50xOTd78% won of 268$5−$125 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Precipitation in Seattle in October?
1 moreOther big weather markets
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$19M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.5M vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: No
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$834K vol.Yes 2%No 99%Smart money: No
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?$801K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$360K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$340K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$335K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$276K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is Roomservice, with $1.2K on it, $7.7K lifetime profit over 269 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is sakelpuntas, with $19 on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 194 markets (4% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 5¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 71 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.