Who's betting on “Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 46% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $160K traded all time
- Held now
- $42K by 328 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 216 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 10% 112 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
328 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 328 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710, with $627 on it, $100K lifetime profit over 1,457 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is idfinsider0228, with $30K on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 153 markets (52% won).
- Holders
- 216
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 112
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 10x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-177065824271060% won of 1,457 · whale$627+$100K lifetime
- 2Burolen65% won of 52$511−$1.8K lifetime
- 30x8128df2eeC30106F953ad47% won of 135$460−$907 lifetime
- 4Nigel36430% won of 200$327−$1.5K lifetime
- 5RMB8754% won of 120$229−$4.1K lifetime
No$37K on it
- 1idfinsider022852% won of 153$30K−$1.3K lifetime
- 2winnings62% won of 13$2.3K+$3.0K lifetime
- 3vainglorious8782% won of 154$1.4K−$35K lifetime
- 4Degencrew66% won of 207$767−$5.3K lifetime
- 5knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$442+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?"?
328 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 328 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710, with $627 on it, $100K lifetime profit over 1,457 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is idfinsider0228, with $30K on it, $1.3K lifetime loss over 153 markets (52% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $160K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 10% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.