Who's betting on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?”?
Finance · $128K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
47% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
161 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 161 of them. The largest Yes holder is zoootic, with $2.0K on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 201 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $1.2K on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won).
- Smart money share
- 47%
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $7.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 84%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| zoootic | $2.0K | -$7.0K | 53% of 201 |
| yoyobb2018 | $1.7K | -$1.6K | 78% of 1,033 |
| K1ngN0rthwhale | $1.3K | +$27K | 78% of 214 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $1.1K | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| 0x9F5711cA7364Ac9c44FFd025299Ff02a82e54f12-1771220305388balanced | $447 | +$55 | 56% of 200 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| chivoexpiatorionoise | $1.2K | +$9.2K | 48% of 62 |
| Dolbawhale | $248 | +$40K | 73% of 200 |
| DancewithRiskwhale | $169 | +$32K | 69% of 322 |
| 0xff7c…b233whale | $168 | +$59K | 67% of 467 |
| Gausslois | $136 | -$801 | 67% of 129 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- $1T$1.1M vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: No
- $1.2T$251K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: Yes
- $1.4T$74K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: No
- $1.6T$56K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?"?
161 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 161 of them. The largest Yes holder is zoootic, with $2.0K on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 201 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $1.2K on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 73¢ and No at 27¢, a 73% implied chance of Yes. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.