Who's betting on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?”?
Finance · $56K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
77% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
131 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jesetrading, with $451 on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 272 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is DancewithRisk, with $415 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 322 markets (69% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 77% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $9
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jesetradingbalanced | $451 | +$6.1K | 76% of 272 |
| jpurd17 | $253 | +$2.0K | 100% of 9 |
| AJSVwhale | $76 | +$217K | 41% of 102,752 |
| romeodeanio | $64 | -$375 | 57% of 35 |
| LBZbot | $26 | -$1.1K | 50% of 200 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DancewithRiskwhale | $415 | +$32K | 69% of 322 |
| Gausslois | $247 | -$801 | 67% of 129 |
| DEGENKHANwhale | $214 | +$105K | 74% of 1,139 |
| rhinogiraffe | $125 | -$79 | 53% of 275 |
| 5atkawhale | $121 | +$10.0K | 59% of 224 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- $1T$1.1M vol.Yes 65%No 36%Smart money: No
- $1.2T$251K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: Yes
- $800B$128K vol.Yes 73%No 27%Smart money: No
- $1.4T$74K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: No
Who's betting on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? →
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- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?"?
131 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is Jesetrading, with $451 on it, $6.1K lifetime profit over 272 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is DancewithRisk, with $415 on it, $32K lifetime profit over 322 markets (69% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 68¢, a 68% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.