Who's betting on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?”?
Finance · $1.1M volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
27% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
134 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 134 of them. The largest Yes holder is zoootic, with $1.0K on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 201 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $763 on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won).
- Smart money share
- 27%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' winrate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| zoootic | $1.0K | -$7.0K | 53% of 201 |
| yoyobb2018 | $558 | -$1.6K | 78% of 1,033 |
| spman111 | $334 | +$0 | - |
| FishyAF | $273 | -$8.5K | 68% of 200 |
| DancewithRiskwhale | $252 | +$27K | 69% of 317 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| chivoexpiatorionoise | $763 | +$9.2K | 48% of 62 |
| BradMccoy9328 | $263 | -$1.3K | 41% of 98 |
| Gausslois | $192 | -$801 | 67% of 129 |
| 0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403grinder | $154 | +$1.8K | 96% of 49 |
| balthazarwhale | $124 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,054 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- $1.2T$251K vol.Yes 54%No 47%Smart money: Yes
- $800B$128K vol.Yes 73%No 27%Smart money: No
- $1.4T$74K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: No
- $1.6T$56K vol.Yes 33%No 68%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? →
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- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?"?
134 wallets hold a position worth $5.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 134 of them. The largest Yes holder is zoootic, with $1.0K on it, $7.0K lifetime loss over 201 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $763 on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 65¢ and No at 36¢, a 65% implied chance of Yes. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.