Who's betting on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?”?
Finance · $251K volume · Ends January 1, 2028 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 51¢ and No at 49¢, a 51% implied chance of Yes. $251K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
65% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $78 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 13,086 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is Flaner, with $163 on it, $185K lifetime loss over 208 markets (45% won).
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $578
- Holders' winrate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 47%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $556
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2B9Snoise | $78 | +$97K | 27% of 13,086 |
| haha0217 | $51 | -$210 | 50% of 6 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdatewhale | $49 | +$104K | 67% of 1,064 |
| Started-with-20-USDwhale | $42 | +$52K | 55% of 559 |
| DancewithRiskwhale | $40 | +$32K | 69% of 322 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flaner | $163 | -$185K | 45% of 208 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387whale | $82 | +$102K | 77% of 1,806 |
| Gausslois | $54 | -$801 | 67% of 129 |
| Dimpled-Foalwhale | $53 | +$65K | 85% of 274 |
| LatoyaMendoza5181balanced | $46 | +$5.5K | 54% of 200 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
- $1T$1.1M vol.Yes 66%No 35%Smart money: No
- $800B$128K vol.Yes 73%No 27%Smart money: No
- $1.4T$74K vol.Yes 61%No 39%Smart money: No
- $1.6T$56K vol.Yes 32%No 68%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $78 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 13,086 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is Flaner, with $163 on it, $185K lifetime loss over 208 markets (45% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 51¢ and No at 49¢, a 51% implied chance of Yes. $251K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.