Who's betting on “OPEC dissolves in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 120 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
120 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $26 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is 57284910, with $2.0K on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 25 markets (88% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $76
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$76 on it
- 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$26+$44K lifetime
- 2AiBird57% won of 1,279 · whale$11+$122K lifetime
- 3purebaby64% won of 437 · whale$7+$2.1K lifetime
- 4Biver5228% won of 360 · noise$5+$6.4K lifetime
- 50xb3CE2323a02f18ee19A56985dCA9A06D9041B41c-177822309111322% won of 9$4+$11 lifetime
No$3.2K on it
- 15728491088% won of 25 · balanced$2.0K+$2.9K lifetime
- 2GTOrski168% won of 31 · balanced$333+$1.0K lifetime
- 30xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$275+$4.6K lifetime
- 40x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$98−$70K lifetime
- 5thursdays62% won of 302 · whale$49+$10K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "OPEC dissolves in 2026?"?
120 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $26 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is 57284910, with $2.0K on it, $2.9K lifetime profit over 25 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "OPEC dissolves in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.