Who's betting on “Nothing Ever Happens: Obama”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 153 wallets
- Smart share · Nothing
- 73% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · Something
- 73% 95 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Nothing at 94¢ and Something at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Nothing. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Nothing and 73% of the money on Something is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
153 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Nothing holder is LaPulgaLeo, with $1.0K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 164 markets (59% won). The largest Something holder is barronwill, with $92 on it, $349 lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $2.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $171
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsNothing$2.8K on it
- 1LaPulgaLeo59% won of 164 · balanced$1.0K+$4.5K lifetime
- 2Melqui47% won of 240$464−$97K lifetime
- 30x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$255+$29K lifetime
- 40xF80E74bC34e0C1BE6D4352D6eDEBB710E6602af8-172011916701364% won of 128 · balanced$181+$4.6K lifetime
- 5polwally497% won of 33$105−$237 lifetime
Something$171 on it
- 1barronwill80% won of 5$92+$349 lifetime
- 20xF7790AafC0EeF13E5dEAd78f565C8688E681d36f-176139834310650% won of 200$16−$1.5K lifetime
- 30x0aCB96E766Ce04465De502F40425aB0a2BDbC884-177078192203163% won of 8$14−$19 lifetime
- 45atka60% won of 228 · whale$7+$9.9K lifetime
- 5Talophex94% won of 1,060 · whale$6+$43K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama"?
153 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Nothing holder is LaPulgaLeo, with $1.0K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 164 markets (59% won). The largest Something holder is barronwill, with $92 on it, $349 lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama"?
Polymarket prices Nothing at 94¢ and Something at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Nothing. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Nothing and 73% of the money on Something is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.