Who's betting on “No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.8K by 53 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 27 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $44 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $2.0K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,121 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $134
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$134 on it
- 1Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$44+$154K lifetime
- 2JK2-Av77% won of 31$23−$227 lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$21+$28K lifetime
- 40x160Ca9e72C2ef4B1B319B8f039E75A4434FF8e91-173983630796040% won of 5$16−$397 lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$7−$485K lifetime
No$4.6K on it
- 1knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$2.0K+$40K lifetime
- 2GenaCyberpunk48% won of 21$480−$527 lifetime
- 3vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$442+$170K lifetime
- 4nikos.paixtis79% won of 242$379−$2.2K lifetime
- 5eratoxtenex52% won of 406 · balanced$241+$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?"?
53 wallets hold a position worth $4.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 53 of them. The largest Yes holder is Nadmi, with $44 on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,251 markets (35% won). The largest No holder is knrad, with $2.0K on it, $40K lifetime profit over 1,121 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.