Who's betting on “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $298K traded all time
- Held now
- $71K by 387 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 148 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 238 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $298K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
Who holds it
387 wallets hold a position worth $71K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 386 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x60DBC9917945AFBeed2aeaf27Bf94C25Fe199892-1770462516837, with $846 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is thoodr, with $17K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
- Holders
- 149
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Holders
- 238
- Money on it
- $67K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.3K on it
- 10x60DBC9917945AFBeed2aeaf27Bf94C25Fe199892-1770462516837no record yet$846+$0 lifetime
- 2Anointed-Connect94% won of 1,000 · whale$586+$918K lifetime
- 30xB886580698eDE4b18DE3E446b2D8Da8bCEdd81B3-176753254779448% won of 1,033 · whale$540+$35K lifetime
- 40xd359eC1da3A6E3f6494a56ef7b3D3d46D768D361-172209717952281% won of 52$331−$868 lifetime
- 5AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$230+$25K lifetime
No$67K on it
- 1thoodr96% won of 830 · whale$17K+$100K lifetime
- 2DFK81% won of 771 · whale$12K+$42K lifetime
- 3TheEmprah69% won of 217 · whale$9.3K+$34K lifetime
- 40x6fe1…863449% won of 75 · noise$9.0K+$4.8K lifetime
- 5Anon556665% won of 304$3.3K−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?
387 wallets hold a position worth $71K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 386 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x60DBC9917945AFBeed2aeaf27Bf94C25Fe199892-1770462516837, with $846 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is thoodr, with $17K on it, $100K lifetime profit over 830 markets (96% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $298K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 34 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.